When crypto rallies with the dollar falling, how do you decide if the move is real demand or just a liquidity tailwind?

Over the past several posts here, a lot of us have circled the same question from different angles: is a crypto move riding on broad liquidity, or standing on its own story? I keep coming back to it because the two can look identical on a chart for days. One thing I've been testing in my own notes is a simple sequence. Before reading any crypto-specific headline, I check the dollar index, real yields, and whether central bank balance sheets are expanding or shrinking over the same window. If the move lines up with those, I treat it as a macro-driven move until proven otherwise. If it runs against them, I start looking harder at flows and news. I'm not fully convinced this sorting holds up. Liquidity signals are slow and noisy, and crypto can keep rising on sentiment alone for longer than the macro picture would suggest. So I'd rather hear how others structure the same check, and where they think it breaks down. How do you separate the two when the signals disagree, and which one do you give more weight to?